Forecast: Warm weather to build back in

Issued August 14, 2017: Covering the period from August 16 to August 23

Even though I had to create the forecast early last week I was still able to pull off a reasonably accurate one. I would love to take full credit for that, but sometimes you just get lucky. After all, I am just reading weather models and trying to pick which models are doing the best

Possible El Niño developing this summer

Any large-scale change in the state of the Pacific is bound to have an impact elsewhere

I received an email the other day asking about El Niño and what effect it might have on our part of the world, should one develop. For quite a while now the Pacific has been in a neutral El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phase, but there is some mention of an El Niño event possibly


Semi-permanent highs and lows

By the time you read this article it will already be February and you will probably be expecting the usual monthly weather summary and looking forward to seeing what the long-range forecasts call for in the next month. Unfortunately, because I write these articles in advance to meet publishing deadlines, the long-range outlook will have

Past Weather Does Not Always Mean Future Weather

Early in September I took a quick look at the kind of weather we might expect this winter. In particular, we examined the phenomenon known as La Nińa or the “anti El Nińo.” La Nińa is a cooling of the equatorial Pacific Ocean and when this occurs it can have an impact on our winter

Taking A Look At La Niña – for Sep. 16, 2010

As summer comes to an end the most common question I have received is about what we should expect the coming winter to be like. Long-range forecasting is tough at the best of times, and most forecasts beyond 30 days are usually not more statistically correct than simply doing a coin toss, but – there


November A Sign Of The Winter To Come?

It seems like we’re seeing October weather in November this year. Recordwarm temperatures were recorded at a number of stations across Manitoba, Saskatchewan and Alberta last week, and overall for the month we have a chance of breaking another monthly record for warmth. Is it remuneration for all the cold weather we had to endure

Record Warm And More To Come? – for Oct. 1, 2009

As I write this, the numbers for the month are not quite all in, but even without the last three days of data, I am pretty confident in saying that September 2009 will go down as the warmest September on record. The question is just how many records will be broken and by how much.

Conflicting Areas Of Wind

At the end of our last weather school article I hoped that we would see an early strengthening of the subtropical high which would then hopefully bring a warm and early start to spring. Instead we saw what our part of the world is famous for, big intense areas of low pressure. This week in


General atmospheric circulation

After the last couple of weather school lessons on wind, we now have a basic understanding of what drives our winds. With this knowledge we are now ready to take this information and start piecing together the bigger picture of global winds, or what is referred to as general atmospheric circulation. We now know that